Mixtures of logit with Monte-Carlo 2000 antithetic draws

Estimation of a mixtures of logit models where the integral is approximated using MonteCarlo integration with antithetic draws.

author:

Michel Bierlaire, EPFL

date:

Thu Apr 13 22:43:46 2023

import biogeme.biogeme_logging as blog
from biogeme.expressions import bioDraws
from b07estimation_specification import get_biogeme
logger = blog.get_screen_logger(level=blog.INFO)
logger.info('Example b07estimation_monte_carlo_anti.py')
Example b07estimation_monte_carlo_anti.py
R = 2000
the_draws = bioDraws('B_TIME_RND', 'NORMAL_ANTI')
the_biogeme = get_biogeme(the_draws=the_draws, number_of_draws=R)
the_biogeme.modelName = 'b07estimation_monte_carlo_anti'
File /var/folders/rp/ppksq7xd6_x7p0jb0t73x7vw0000gq/T/tmp0f6vnc1n/f22a53ae-79f3-448b-9152-2f2391ac24ea has been parsed.
results = the_biogeme.estimate()
*** Initial values of the parameters are obtained from the file __b07estimation_monte_carlo_anti.iter
Parameter values restored from __b07estimation_monte_carlo_anti.iter
Optimization algorithm: hybrid Newton/BFGS with simple bounds [simple_bounds]
** Optimization: Newton with trust region for simple bounds
Iter.         asc_car       asc_train          b_cost          b_time        b_time_s     Function    Relgrad   Radius      Rho
    0          -0.082           -0.79           -0.32              -1            0.87      5.4e+03      0.046       10        1   ++
    1           0.019           -0.56              -1            -1.6            0.94      5.2e+03     0.0092    1e+02      1.1   ++
    2             0.1           -0.42            -1.2            -2.1             1.4      5.2e+03     0.0048    1e+03      1.2   ++
    3            0.13            -0.4            -1.3            -2.2             1.6      5.2e+03    0.00083    1e+04      1.1   ++
    4            0.14            -0.4            -1.3            -2.3             1.7      5.2e+03    1.6e-05    1e+05        1   ++
    5            0.14            -0.4            -1.3            -2.3             1.7      5.2e+03    5.9e-09    1e+05        1   ++
print(results.short_summary())
Results for model b07estimation_monte_carlo_anti
Nbr of parameters:              5
Sample size:                    6768
Excluded data:                  3960
Final log likelihood:           -5213.499
Akaike Information Criterion:   10437
Bayesian Information Criterion: 10471.1
pandas_results = results.getEstimatedParameters()
pandas_results
Value Rob. Std err Rob. t-test Rob. p-value
asc_car 0.138852 0.051691 2.686172 7.227580e-03
asc_train -0.400497 0.065829 -6.083906 1.172891e-09
b_cost -1.287812 0.086267 -14.928164 0.000000e+00
b_time -2.268576 0.116712 -19.437325 0.000000e+00
b_time_s 1.669333 0.129180 12.922494 0.000000e+00


Total running time of the script: (4 minutes 31.125 seconds)

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