Mixtures of logit with Monte-Carlo 2000 MLHS draws

Estimation of a mixtures of logit models where the integral is approximated using MonteCarlo integration with MLHS draws.

author:

Michel Bierlaire, EPFL

date:

Thu Apr 13 23:36:34 2023

import biogeme.biogeme_logging as blog
from biogeme.expressions import bioDraws
from b07estimation_specification import get_biogeme
logger = blog.get_screen_logger(level=blog.INFO)
logger.info('Example b07estimation_monte_carlo_mlhs.py')
Example b07estimation_monte_carlo_mlhs.py
R = 2000
the_draws = bioDraws('B_TIME_RND', 'NORMAL_MLHS')
the_biogeme = get_biogeme(the_draws=the_draws, number_of_draws=R)
the_biogeme.modelName = 'b07estimation_monte_carlo_mlhs'
File /var/folders/rp/ppksq7xd6_x7p0jb0t73x7vw0000gq/T/tmpthinjwx1/9072113b-33d1-425d-95ac-d553a2b11897 has been parsed.
results = the_biogeme.estimate()
*** Initial values of the parameters are obtained from the file __b07estimation_monte_carlo_mlhs.iter
Cannot read file __b07estimation_monte_carlo_mlhs.iter. Statement is ignored.
Optimization algorithm: hybrid Newton/BFGS with simple bounds [simple_bounds]
** Optimization: Newton with trust region for simple bounds
Iter.         asc_car       asc_train          b_cost          b_time        b_time_s     Function    Relgrad   Radius      Rho
    0          -0.082           -0.79           -0.32              -1            0.87      5.4e+03      0.046       10        1   ++
    1           0.019           -0.56              -1            -1.6            0.93      5.2e+03     0.0086    1e+02      1.1   ++
    2             0.1           -0.42            -1.2            -2.1             1.4      5.2e+03     0.0048    1e+03      1.1   ++
    3            0.13            -0.4            -1.3            -2.2             1.6      5.2e+03    0.00069    1e+04      1.1   ++
    4            0.14            -0.4            -1.3            -2.3             1.7      5.2e+03    1.6e-05    1e+05        1   ++
    5            0.14            -0.4            -1.3            -2.3             1.7      5.2e+03    6.7e-09    1e+05        1   ++
print(results.short_summary())
Results for model b07estimation_monte_carlo_mlhs
Nbr of parameters:              5
Sample size:                    6768
Excluded data:                  3960
Final log likelihood:           -5214.353
Akaike Information Criterion:   10438.71
Bayesian Information Criterion: 10472.81
pandas_results = results.getEstimatedParameters()
pandas_results
Value Rob. Std err Rob. t-test Rob. p-value
asc_car 0.136807 0.051624 2.650053 8.047921e-03
asc_train -0.402049 0.065849 -6.105579 1.024288e-09
b_cost -1.285039 0.086184 -14.910370 0.000000e+00
b_time -2.257706 0.116374 -19.400488 0.000000e+00
b_time_s 1.654794 0.130764 12.654772 0.000000e+00


Total running time of the script: (4 minutes 59.937 seconds)

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