One model among many

We consider the model with 432 specifications defined in Combination of many specifications. We select one specification and estimate it. See Bierlaire and Ortelli (2023).

author:

Michel Bierlaire, EPFL

date:

Sat Jul 15 15:46:56 2023

import biogeme.biogeme_logging as blog
import biogeme.biogeme as bio
from everything_spec import model_catalog, database, av

logger = blog.get_screen_logger(level=blog.INFO)

The code characterizing the specification should be copied from the .pareto file generated by the algorithm, or from one of the glossaries illustrated in earlier examples.

SPEC_ID = (
    'ASC:GA-LUGGAGE;'
    'B_COST_gen_altspec:generic;'
    'B_TIME:FIRST;'
    'B_TIME_gen_altspec:generic;'
    'model_catalog:logit;'
    'train_tt_catalog:power'
)

the spec_id, and used as usual.

the_biogeme = bio.BIOGEME.from_configuration(
    config_id=SPEC_ID,
    expression=model_catalog,
    database=database,
)
the_biogeme.modelName = 'my_favorite_model'
File biogeme.toml has been parsed.

Calculate of the null log-likelihood for reporting.

the_biogeme.calculateNullLoglikelihood(av)
-6964.662979191462

Estimate the parameters.

results = the_biogeme.estimate()
*** Initial values of the parameters are obtained from the file __my_favorite_model.iter
Cannot read file __my_favorite_model.iter. Statement is ignored.
Optimization algorithm: hybrid Newton/BFGS with simple bounds [simple_bounds]
** Optimization: Newton with trust region for simple bounds
Iter.         ASC_CAR      ASC_CAR_GA ASC_CAR_one_lug ASC_CAR_several       ASC_TRAIN    ASC_TRAIN_GA ASC_TRAIN_one_l ASC_TRAIN_sever          B_COST          B_TIME B_TIME_1st_clas    cube_tt_coef  square_tt_coef     Function    Relgrad   Radius      Rho
    0               0               0               0               0               0               0               0               0               0               0               0               0               0        7e+03       0.27      0.5     -1.7    -
    1          -0.068          -0.065          -0.064         -0.0096            -0.5           0.024            -0.5          -0.026           -0.15            -0.5            -0.5               0               0      5.6e+03          8        5      1.1   ++
    2          -0.068          -0.065          -0.064         -0.0096            -0.5           0.024            -0.5          -0.026           -0.15            -0.5            -0.5               0               0      5.6e+03          8      2.5     -9.2    -
    3          -0.068          -0.065          -0.064         -0.0096            -0.5           0.024            -0.5          -0.026           -0.15            -0.5            -0.5               0               0      5.6e+03          8      1.2     -8.9    -
    4          -0.068          -0.065          -0.064         -0.0096            -0.5           0.024            -0.5          -0.026           -0.15            -0.5            -0.5               0               0      5.6e+03          8     0.62     -8.5    -
    5          -0.068          -0.065          -0.064         -0.0096            -0.5           0.024            -0.5          -0.026           -0.15            -0.5            -0.5               0               0      5.6e+03          8     0.31     -5.6    -
    6          -0.068          -0.065          -0.064         -0.0096            -0.5           0.024            -0.5          -0.026           -0.15            -0.5            -0.5               0               0      5.6e+03          8     0.16     -3.2    -
    7          -0.068          -0.065          -0.064         -0.0096            -0.5           0.024            -0.5          -0.026           -0.15            -0.5            -0.5               0               0      5.6e+03          8    0.078     -2.7    -
    8          -0.068          -0.065          -0.064         -0.0096            -0.5           0.024            -0.5          -0.026           -0.15            -0.5            -0.5               0               0      5.6e+03          8    0.039     -2.7    -
    9          -0.068          -0.065          -0.064         -0.0096            -0.5           0.024            -0.5          -0.026           -0.15            -0.5            -0.5               0               0      5.6e+03          8     0.02       -3    -
   10          -0.068          -0.065          -0.064         -0.0096            -0.5           0.024            -0.5          -0.026           -0.15            -0.5            -0.5               0               0      5.6e+03          8   0.0098     -3.2    -
   11          -0.068          -0.065          -0.064         -0.0096            -0.5           0.024            -0.5          -0.026           -0.15            -0.5            -0.5               0               0      5.6e+03          8   0.0049     -3.4    -
   12          -0.068          -0.065          -0.064         -0.0096            -0.5           0.024            -0.5          -0.026           -0.15            -0.5            -0.5               0               0      5.6e+03          8   0.0024     -2.2    -
   13          -0.068          -0.065          -0.064         -0.0096            -0.5           0.024            -0.5          -0.026           -0.15            -0.5            -0.5               0               0      5.6e+03          8   0.0012     -1.5    -
   14          -0.068          -0.065          -0.064         -0.0096            -0.5           0.024            -0.5          -0.026           -0.15            -0.5            -0.5               0               0      5.6e+03          8  0.00061     -0.8    -
   15          -0.068          -0.065          -0.064         -0.0096            -0.5           0.024            -0.5          -0.026           -0.15            -0.5            -0.5               0               0      5.6e+03          8  0.00031   -0.045    -
   16          -0.068          -0.066          -0.064         -0.0099            -0.5           0.024            -0.5          -0.026           -0.15            -0.5            -0.5        -0.00031         0.00031      5.6e+03          3  0.00031      0.7    +
   17          -0.068          -0.066          -0.064         -0.0099            -0.5           0.025            -0.5          -0.026           -0.15            -0.5            -0.5        -0.00026         0.00061      5.6e+03          1  0.00031     0.87    +
   18          -0.068          -0.066          -0.064         -0.0099            -0.5           0.025            -0.5          -0.026           -0.16            -0.5            -0.5        -0.00027         0.00092      5.6e+03      0.069   0.0031        1   ++
   19          -0.068          -0.066          -0.065           -0.01            -0.5           0.026            -0.5          -0.026           -0.16            -0.5            -0.5        -0.00023           0.004      5.6e+03        4.5    0.031        1   ++
   20          -0.069          -0.072          -0.069          -0.011           -0.51           0.043           -0.49          -0.027           -0.19           -0.52           -0.51        -0.00043           0.034      5.5e+03        1.5     0.31     0.99   ++
   21          -0.048           -0.13          -0.097           -0.02           -0.56            0.23           -0.34           -0.03           -0.49           -0.63            -0.6          -0.001            0.18      5.4e+03        1.2      3.1     0.98   ++
   22          -0.048           -0.13          -0.097           -0.02           -0.56            0.23           -0.34           -0.03           -0.49           -0.63            -0.6          -0.001            0.18      5.4e+03        1.2      1.5      -19    -
   23          -0.048           -0.13          -0.097           -0.02           -0.56            0.23           -0.34           -0.03           -0.49           -0.63            -0.6          -0.001            0.18      5.4e+03        1.2     0.76     -2.6    -
   24           0.027            -0.3           -0.14          -0.053           -0.75            0.87            0.12          -0.037            -1.3           -0.92           -0.82         0.00035           -0.14      5.2e+03         11     0.76     0.31    +
   25           0.044           -0.32          -0.061          -0.081           -0.84             1.2            0.32          -0.026            -1.2            -1.7            -1.2        -0.00012          -0.029      5.1e+03         10     0.76     0.35    +
   26           0.044           -0.32          -0.061          -0.081           -0.84             1.2            0.32          -0.026            -1.2            -1.7            -1.2        -0.00012          -0.029      5.1e+03         10     0.38     -4.1    -
   27           0.044           -0.32          -0.061          -0.081           -0.84             1.2            0.32          -0.026            -1.2            -1.7            -1.2        -0.00012          -0.029      5.1e+03         10     0.19     -1.5    -
   28           0.044           -0.32          -0.061          -0.081           -0.84             1.2            0.32          -0.026            -1.2            -1.7            -1.2        -0.00012          -0.029      5.1e+03         10    0.095    -0.45    -
   29           0.049           -0.32          -0.058          -0.081           -0.83             1.2            0.32          -0.026            -1.2            -1.7            -1.2         0.00026           -0.12        5e+03         32    0.095     0.71    +
   30           0.085           -0.33          -0.037           -0.09           -0.93             1.3            0.31          -0.022            -1.2            -1.7            -1.2         0.00022           -0.11      4.9e+03        5.2     0.95     0.96   ++
   31          -0.054           -0.27          -0.015           -0.37            -1.4             1.8            0.62            0.29            -1.2            -1.7           -0.85         0.00021           -0.11      4.9e+03        1.4      9.5        1   ++
   32          -0.055           -0.27         -0.0067           -0.45            -1.5             1.8            0.65            0.41            -1.2            -1.7           -0.87         0.00022           -0.11      4.9e+03       0.12       95        1   ++
   33          -0.056           -0.27         -0.0065           -0.45            -1.5             1.8            0.65            0.41            -1.2            -1.7           -0.87         0.00022           -0.11      4.9e+03    0.00038  9.5e+02        1   ++
   34          -0.055           -0.27         -0.0066           -0.45            -1.5             1.8            0.65            0.41            -1.2            -1.7           -0.87         0.00022           -0.11      4.9e+03      9e-06  9.5e+03        1   ++
   35          -0.055           -0.27         -0.0066           -0.45            -1.5             1.8            0.65            0.41            -1.2            -1.7           -0.87         0.00022           -0.11      4.9e+03    3.1e-08  9.5e+03        1   ++
print(results.short_summary())
Results for model my_favorite_model
Nbr of parameters:              13
Sample size:                    6768
Excluded data:                  3960
Null log likelihood:            -6964.663
Final log likelihood:           -4893.276
Likelihood ratio test (null):           4142.773
Rho square (null):                      0.297
Rho bar square (null):                  0.296
Akaike Information Criterion:   9812.552
Bayesian Information Criterion: 9901.212

Get the results in a pandas table

pandas_results = results.getEstimatedParameters()
pandas_results
Value Rob. Std err Rob. t-test Rob. p-value
ASC_CAR -0.055460 0.061063 -0.908233 3.637550e-01
ASC_CAR_GA -0.266741 0.199211 -1.338988 1.805746e-01
ASC_CAR_one_lugg -0.006600 0.067934 -0.097149 9.226082e-01
ASC_CAR_several_lugg -0.451146 0.238481 -1.891745 5.852494e-02
ASC_TRAIN -1.459784 0.098129 -14.876203 0.000000e+00
ASC_TRAIN_GA 1.770124 0.092217 19.195267 0.000000e+00
ASC_TRAIN_one_lugg 0.650824 0.099752 6.524433 6.825940e-11
ASC_TRAIN_several_lugg 0.407875 0.217169 1.878149 6.036073e-02
B_COST -1.216618 0.082664 -14.717573 0.000000e+00
B_TIME -1.700332 0.127474 -13.338634 0.000000e+00
B_TIME_1st_class -0.873606 0.118374 -7.380072 1.580958e-13
cube_tt_coef 0.000220 0.000035 6.320623 2.605101e-10
square_tt_coef -0.110442 0.006296 -17.541428 0.000000e+00


Total running time of the script: (0 minutes 1.803 seconds)

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