Mixtures of logit with Monte-Carlo 500 MLHS draws

Estimation of a mixtures of logit models where the integral is approximated using MonteCarlo integration with MLHS draws.

author:

Michel Bierlaire, EPFL

date:

Thu Apr 13 23:37:44 2023

import biogeme.biogeme_logging as blog
from biogeme.expressions import bioDraws
from b07estimation_specification import get_biogeme
logger = blog.get_screen_logger(level=blog.INFO)
logger.info('Example b07estimation_monte_carlo_mlhs_500.py')
Example b07estimation_monte_carlo_mlhs_500.py
R = 500

the_draws = bioDraws('B_TIME_RND', 'NORMAL_MLHS')
the_biogeme = get_biogeme(the_draws=the_draws, number_of_draws=R)
the_biogeme.modelName = 'b07estimation_monte_carlo_mlhs_500'
File /var/folders/rp/ppksq7xd6_x7p0jb0t73x7vw0000gq/T/tmpya5lp_yq/079077ab-a391-4ce5-9594-61feaa529541 has been parsed.
results = the_biogeme.estimate()
*** Initial values of the parameters are obtained from the file __b07estimation_monte_carlo_mlhs_500.iter
Parameter values restored from __b07estimation_monte_carlo_mlhs_500.iter
Optimization algorithm: hybrid Newton/BFGS with simple bounds [simple_bounds]
** Optimization: Newton with trust region for simple bounds
Iter.         asc_car       asc_train          b_cost          b_time        b_time_s     Function    Relgrad   Radius      Rho
    0             0.1           -0.43            -1.2            -2.1             1.4      5.2e+03     0.0074       10      1.1   ++
    1            0.13           -0.41            -1.3            -2.2             1.6      5.2e+03    0.00096    1e+02      1.1   ++
    2            0.13            -0.4            -1.3            -2.2             1.6      5.2e+03    1.6e-05    1e+03        1   ++
    3            0.13            -0.4            -1.3            -2.2             1.6      5.2e+03    4.6e-09    1e+03        1   ++
print(results.short_summary())
Results for model b07estimation_monte_carlo_mlhs_500
Nbr of parameters:              5
Sample size:                    6768
Excluded data:                  3960
Final log likelihood:           -5217.204
Akaike Information Criterion:   10444.41
Bayesian Information Criterion: 10478.51
pandas_results = results.getEstimatedParameters()
pandas_results
Value Rob. Std err Rob. t-test Rob. p-value
asc_car 0.134004 0.051956 2.579184 9.903396e-03
asc_train -0.404873 0.066146 -6.120903 9.304664e-10
b_cost -1.280591 0.085999 -14.890835 0.000000e+00
b_time -2.249351 0.117630 -19.122260 0.000000e+00
b_time_s 1.647880 0.135517 12.159937 0.000000e+00


Total running time of the script: (0 minutes 51.636 seconds)

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