.. DO NOT EDIT. .. THIS FILE WAS AUTOMATICALLY GENERATED BY SPHINX-GALLERY. .. TO MAKE CHANGES, EDIT THE SOURCE PYTHON FILE: .. "auto_examples/swissmetro/plot_b17lognormal_mixture.py" .. LINE NUMBERS ARE GIVEN BELOW. .. only:: html .. note:: :class: sphx-glr-download-link-note :ref:`Go to the end ` to download the full example code .. rst-class:: sphx-glr-example-title .. _sphx_glr_auto_examples_swissmetro_plot_b17lognormal_mixture.py: .. _plot_b17lognormal_mixture: Mixture with lognormal distribution =================================== Example of a mixture of logit models, using Monte-Carlo integration. The mixing distribution is distributed as a log normal. :author: Michel Bierlaire, EPFL :date: Mon Apr 10 12:11:53 2023 .. GENERATED FROM PYTHON SOURCE LINES 14-26 .. code-block:: default import biogeme.biogeme_logging as blog import biogeme.biogeme as bio from biogeme import models from biogeme.expressions import ( Beta, exp, log, MonteCarlo, bioDraws, ) .. GENERATED FROM PYTHON SOURCE LINES 27-28 See the data processing script: :ref:`swissmetro_data`. .. GENERATED FROM PYTHON SOURCE LINES 28-45 .. code-block:: default from swissmetro_data import ( database, CHOICE, SM_AV, CAR_AV_SP, TRAIN_AV_SP, TRAIN_TT_SCALED, TRAIN_COST_SCALED, SM_TT_SCALED, SM_COST_SCALED, CAR_TT_SCALED, CAR_CO_SCALED, ) logger = blog.get_screen_logger(level=blog.INFO) logger.info('Example b17lognormal_mixture.py') .. rst-class:: sphx-glr-script-out .. code-block:: none Example b17lognormal_mixture.py .. GENERATED FROM PYTHON SOURCE LINES 46-47 Parameters to be estimated. .. GENERATED FROM PYTHON SOURCE LINES 47-52 .. code-block:: default ASC_CAR = Beta('ASC_CAR', 0, None, None, 0) ASC_TRAIN = Beta('ASC_TRAIN', 0, None, None, 0) ASC_SM = Beta('ASC_SM', 0, None, None, 1) B_COST = Beta('B_COST', 0, None, None, 0) .. GENERATED FROM PYTHON SOURCE LINES 53-55 Define a random parameter, normally distributed, designed to be used for Monte-Carlo simulation. .. GENERATED FROM PYTHON SOURCE LINES 55-57 .. code-block:: default B_TIME = Beta('B_TIME', 0, None, None, 0) .. GENERATED FROM PYTHON SOURCE LINES 58-59 It is advised not to use 0 as starting value for the following parameter. .. GENERATED FROM PYTHON SOURCE LINES 59-61 .. code-block:: default B_TIME_S = Beta('B_TIME_S', 1, -2, 2, 0) .. GENERATED FROM PYTHON SOURCE LINES 62-64 Define a random parameter, log normally distributed, designed to be used for Monte-Carlo simulation. .. GENERATED FROM PYTHON SOURCE LINES 64-66 .. code-block:: default B_TIME_RND = -exp(B_TIME + B_TIME_S * bioDraws('B_TIME_RND', 'NORMAL')) .. GENERATED FROM PYTHON SOURCE LINES 67-68 Definition of the utility functions. .. GENERATED FROM PYTHON SOURCE LINES 68-72 .. code-block:: default V1 = ASC_TRAIN + B_TIME_RND * TRAIN_TT_SCALED + B_COST * TRAIN_COST_SCALED V2 = ASC_SM + B_TIME_RND * SM_TT_SCALED + B_COST * SM_COST_SCALED V3 = ASC_CAR + B_TIME_RND * CAR_TT_SCALED + B_COST * CAR_CO_SCALED .. GENERATED FROM PYTHON SOURCE LINES 73-74 Associate utility functions with the numbering of alternatives. .. GENERATED FROM PYTHON SOURCE LINES 74-76 .. code-block:: default V = {1: V1, 2: V2, 3: V3} .. GENERATED FROM PYTHON SOURCE LINES 77-78 Associate the availability conditions with the alternatives. .. GENERATED FROM PYTHON SOURCE LINES 78-80 .. code-block:: default av = {1: TRAIN_AV_SP, 2: SM_AV, 3: CAR_AV_SP} .. GENERATED FROM PYTHON SOURCE LINES 81-82 Conditional to B_TIME_RND, we have a logit model (called the kernel). .. GENERATED FROM PYTHON SOURCE LINES 82-84 .. code-block:: default prob = models.logit(V, av, CHOICE) .. GENERATED FROM PYTHON SOURCE LINES 85-86 We integrate over B_TIME_RND using Monte-Carlo. .. GENERATED FROM PYTHON SOURCE LINES 86-95 .. code-block:: default logprob = log(MonteCarlo(prob)) # Create the Biogeme object. As the objective is to illustrate the # syntax, we calculate the Monte-Carlo approximation with a small # number of draws. To achieve that, we provide a parameter file # different from the default one. the_biogeme = bio.BIOGEME(database, logprob, parameter_file='few_draws.toml') the_biogeme.modelName = '17lognormal_mixture' .. rst-class:: sphx-glr-script-out .. code-block:: none File few_draws.toml has been parsed. .. GENERATED FROM PYTHON SOURCE LINES 96-97 Estimate the parameters. .. GENERATED FROM PYTHON SOURCE LINES 97-99 .. code-block:: default results = the_biogeme.estimate() .. rst-class:: sphx-glr-script-out .. code-block:: none *** Initial values of the parameters are obtained from the file __17lognormal_mixture.iter Cannot read file __17lognormal_mixture.iter. Statement is ignored. Optimization algorithm: hybrid Newton/BFGS with simple bounds [simple_bounds] ** Optimization: Newton with trust region for simple bounds Iter. ASC_CAR ASC_TRAIN B_COST B_TIME B_TIME_S Function Relgrad Radius Rho 0 0.18 -0.4 -1 0.36 0.98 5.3e+03 0.018 10 1 ++ 1 0.16 -0.36 -1.3 0.55 1.1 5.2e+03 0.0026 1e+02 1.1 ++ 2 0.14 -0.37 -1.4 0.54 1.2 5.2e+03 8.8e-05 1e+03 1 ++ 3 0.14 -0.37 -1.4 0.54 1.2 5.2e+03 3.3e-07 1e+03 1 ++ Results saved in file 17lognormal_mixture.html Results saved in file 17lognormal_mixture.pickle .. GENERATED FROM PYTHON SOURCE LINES 100-102 .. code-block:: default print(results.short_summary()) .. rst-class:: sphx-glr-script-out .. code-block:: none Results for model 17lognormal_mixture Nbr of parameters: 5 Sample size: 6768 Excluded data: 3960 Final log likelihood: -5239.842 Akaike Information Criterion: 10489.68 Bayesian Information Criterion: 10523.78 .. GENERATED FROM PYTHON SOURCE LINES 103-105 .. code-block:: default pandas_results = results.getEstimatedParameters() pandas_results .. raw:: html
Value Rob. Std err Rob. t-test Rob. p-value
ASC_CAR 0.144575 0.058545 2.469481 1.353091e-02
ASC_TRAIN -0.373762 0.071593 -5.220664 1.782824e-07
B_COST -1.357323 0.092802 -14.626080 0.000000e+00
B_TIME 0.543241 0.068780 7.898244 2.886580e-15
B_TIME_S 1.161331 0.100738 11.528253 0.000000e+00


.. rst-class:: sphx-glr-timing **Total running time of the script:** (0 minutes 6.844 seconds) .. _sphx_glr_download_auto_examples_swissmetro_plot_b17lognormal_mixture.py: .. only:: html .. container:: sphx-glr-footer sphx-glr-footer-example .. container:: sphx-glr-download sphx-glr-download-python :download:`Download Python source code: plot_b17lognormal_mixture.py ` .. container:: sphx-glr-download sphx-glr-download-jupyter :download:`Download Jupyter notebook: plot_b17lognormal_mixture.ipynb ` .. only:: html .. rst-class:: sphx-glr-signature `Gallery generated by Sphinx-Gallery `_